2013 NFL Mock Draft – Picks 1-16

NFL Draft 2010

Photo by Marianne O’Leary via Flickr.

Who will be a star? Who will be a bust? It doesn’t seem like any of the highly paid experts can figure this out, so here’s my non-highly paid, but often as accurate 2013 NFL Mock Draft.

This draft seems to have a lot less certainty than past drafts making the mock process even more of an adventure.

1. Kansas City Chiefs – Luke Joeckel OT, Texas A&M

The Chiefs took care of their QB need by trading for Alex Smith and signing Chase Daniel. They released Eric Winston and seem to be pushing Branden Albert out the door. Joeckel and Eric Fisher are the top Tackle prospects. I would go with Joeckel who played in the SEC against better athletes than Fisher did at Central Michigan.

2. Jacksonville Jaguars – Eric Fisher OT, Central Michigan

The Jaguars need help just about everywhere, trading this pick would be best, but they are unlikely to find a partner. Tackle Eugene Monroe has one year left on his contract, so finding a replacement should be a priority.

3. Oakland Raiders – Sharrif Floyd DT, Florida

The Raiders lost Desmond Bryant, Richard Seymour and Tommy Kelly from the D Line. Floyd compares well to Seymour, an athletic DT who can also play End.

4. Philadelphia Eagles – Dion Jordan OLB, Oregon

Everyone wants to know what Chip Kelly’s high octane offense bring to the NFL. I’m not sure he adds to that O with this pick, the Eagles need a 3-4 DE which makes Star Lotulelei from Utah a good pick. However, the league is trending towards the spread offense and getting to the QB. Kelly goes with the familiar pass rusher and takes Oregon’s Dion Jordan to pair with FA signee Connor Barwin.

5. Detroit Lions – Lane Johnson OT, Oklahoma

The Lions will be thrilled if one of the top 2 tackles fall to them (maybe they can trade with Jax) after a big swing and miss on Riley Reiff, last year’s first round pick. With both starting Tackles leaving in the off season protecting Matt Stafford is a must. Best tackle available is Oklahoma’s Lane Johnson. DE is a position of need as well

6. Cleveland Browns – Dee Milliner CB, Alabama

It seems like the QBs are falling and if a team is going to jump on a QB early, I could see the Browns reaching for Gino Smith here, but I think they still have their hearts set on Patriots backup, Ryan Mallet. Corner is a deep position but Alabama’s Dee Milliner is the best of the group and could be paired with Joe Haden to form a strong CB duo.

7. Arizona Cardinals – Chance Warmack OG, Alabama

The Cardinals traded for Carson Palmer, and like most of the other teams that need QBs of the future will likely address the need in rounds 2-3. With the top 3 tackles off the board the Cards take the best OG prospect in Warmack.

8. Buffalo Bills – Tavon Austin WR, West Virginia

Disappointed to see Warmack off the board UNCs Jonathan Cooper could be a target. The new coaching staff seems destined to add Syracuse QB Ryan Nassib in the 2nd round. First surprise of the draft Bills take WR Tavon Austin to provide a speed threat across from Stevie Johnson.

9. New York Jets – Barkevious Mingo OLB, LSU

The Jets rival the Jaguars for least talented team in the NFL, and need help everywhere. The Jets resigned DE Calvin Pace but are desperate for more dynamic pass rushers. Barkevious Mingo or BYUs Ezekiel Ansah make sense at this pick. Rex Ryan and staff probably don’t have time to wait for Ansah to develop.

10. Tennessee Titans – Jonathan Cooper OG, UNC

Chris Johnson won’t have anymore excuses if he gets some help on the O line. Cooper is the last of the top tier Guards on the board.

11. San Diego Chargers – Ezekial Ansah DE, BYU

Chargers could really use an O Lineman here, but if the top 3 tackles and 2 Guards are gone they will have to look elsewhere. This is a good spot to take a chance on Ezekial Ansah’s freak like potential.

12. Miami Dolphins – Kenny Vaccaro S, Texas

Dolphins need help in the secondary, CB Xavier Rhodes is a possible pick here, but this year’s CB group is deeper than safety and can be addressed later while they grab the top S prospect in Vaccaro.

13. Tampa Bay Bucs – Xavier Rhodes CB, Florida State

The Bucs will be holding their breath as the Dolphins are on the clock ahead of them needing a CB as well. If Rhodes is gone that may force the Bucs hand in trading this pick to the Jets for Revis.

14. Carolina Panthers – Star Lotulelei DT, Utah

DT is the biggest need for the Panthers. When the draft process started Lotulelei was considered one of the top 3 prospects, but has fallen due to some health issues at the combine. WR is another need for Panthers as well.

15. New Orleans Saints – Jarvis Jones OLB, Georgia

Saints are switching to a 3-4 defense under Rob Ryan and need pass rushers. With Mingo gone, Jones is the best available. Jones comes with some injury concerns due to a past neck injury.

16. Saint Louis Rams – Cordarrelle Patterson WR, Tennessee

The Rams will be disappointed to see Vaccaro off the board, and will address another huge need WR. Patterson, has prototypical size (6-3, 205) and offers the most upside of any WR prospect. He only played one season at the D1 level and comes with some maturity issues, but Jeff Fisher has made a career of taking on these challenges.

Come back Tuesday for Picks 17-32 of the 2013 NFL Mock Draft.

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Marianne O’Leary on Flickr.